The betting market was a better forecaster than 538 in this election.
Out of the 12 swing states where 6 were won by Dems and 6 GOP, betting market was wrong in only 1 vs "538" being wrong in 2 states.
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Out of the 12 swing states where 6 were won by Dems and 6 GOP, betting market was wrong in only 1 vs "538" being wrong in 2 states.